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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Monday 15 April 2024

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Monday 15 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wahda FC at 68% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 2.5 goals market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
3 : 0 FT
Hatta SC
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
0 : 4 FT
Malmo FF
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
6 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
0 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 3 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Monday 15 April 2024?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wahda FC at 68% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.