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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 25 January 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 25 January 2023. Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum led the list at 87% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 1.5 goals market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 4 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 56%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 25 January 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum at 87% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.