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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 15 February 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 15 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bristol Rovers vs Sutton Utd at 82% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the over 1.5 goals market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
0 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 League One Β· England
Wigan
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
2 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
2 : 0 FT
Coventry
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
3 : 1 FT
Parma
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 0 FT
Niort
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#9 League Two Β· England
Exeter City
4 : 3 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
3 : 1 FT
Bolton
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 3 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 15 February 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol Rovers vs Sutton Utd at 82% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.