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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 8 November 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 8 November 2024. Sukhothai FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya sits top on 69% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the home win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
5 : 2 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
1 : 1 FT
Martigues
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60%
#5 Championship Β· England
Watford
1 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 2 FT
Lokeren-Temse
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
1 : 3 FT
Auxerre
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
0 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 3 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 10 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 8 November 2024?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Sukhothai FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya at 69% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.