Sign in Register
🏠

Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 5 February 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Sunday 5 February 2023. Cobresal vs Deportes Copiapo led the list at 72% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the home win market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
1 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 59%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 FT
Valladolid
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
0 : 0 FT
Angers
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
1 : 0 FT
AC Milan
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
0 : 0 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
4 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
3 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 0 FT
Excelsior Virton
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
2 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
2 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 16 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 5 February 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cobresal vs Deportes Copiapo at 72% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.