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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 16 July 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 16 July 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Djurgardens IF vs IFK Varnamo at 79% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

K League 1 supplies three of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the home win market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
5 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 68%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
2 : 0 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
5 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
0 : 2 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 4 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 1 FT
Suwon Bluewings
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 7 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 16 July 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Djurgardens IF vs IFK Varnamo at 79% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.