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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 12 June 2022

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

Four fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 12 June 2022. Changchun Yatai vs Dalian Aerbin sits top on 3.12 in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 3.12 down to 2.57, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies three of the top 4, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, 0 landed the goal fest market — 0%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou R&F
0 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%

Showing top 4 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 12 June 2022?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Changchun Yatai vs Dalian Aerbin at 3.12 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.