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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 21 December 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Wednesday 21 December 2022. AEK Athens FC vs Lamia led the list at 60% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League 1 supplies five of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 27%
Win 7%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
1 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 11%
Draw 27%
Win 62%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
1 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 20%
Draw 37%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
Win 36%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAS Giannina
2 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 18%
Draw 30%
Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Championship Β· England
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
West Brom
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 6 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 21 December 2022?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs Lamia at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.