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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 27 February 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 27 February 2021. VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC sits top on 43% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 43% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies five of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the clean sheet market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
5 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
3 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 6 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 27 February 2021?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC at 43% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.