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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 20 January 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Friday 20 January 2023. Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Raed sits top on 47% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 27%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
3 : 0 FT
Al-Raed
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 34%
Draw 21%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 35%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
2 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 35%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
0 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
2 : 1 FT
Lommel United
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
3 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile
Magallanes
0 : 1 FT
O'Higgins
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
1 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 20 January 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Raed at 47% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.