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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 23 December 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Friday 23 December 2022. Wuhan Zall vs Dalian Aerbin sits top on 58% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies seven of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Zall
3 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
1 : 3 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 23%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ümraniyespor
1 : 3 FT
Başakşehir
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 0 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 34%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 43%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 3 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 25%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
– : – CANC
Tianjin Teda
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 0 FT
Shandong Luneng
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
1 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 23 December 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Zall vs Dalian Aerbin at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.