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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 8 March 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 8 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Swansea vs Fulham at 53% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 5 FT
Fulham
Win 23%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 League One Β· England
Crewe
1 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#3 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
1 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 23%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 55%
#4 Championship Β· England
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 League Two Β· England
Exeter City
3 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Championship Β· England
Coventry
0 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 7 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 8 March 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Swansea vs Fulham at 53% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.