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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 12 May 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 12 May 2021. The strongest reading belongs to FC Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC at 44% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 44% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 22%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
1 : 3 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
3 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 30%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
0 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
0 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
0 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%

Showing top 6 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 12 May 2021?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC at 44% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.