🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at Sharjah FC's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Sharjah FC and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai finished level at 0-0 at Sharjah Stadium, Regular Season - 19, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sharjah FC 1.08 xG and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1.19 xG, a combined 2.27. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Sharjah FC fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sharjah FC attack 0.91 / defence 0.69 against Shabab Al Ahli Dubai attack 1.27 / defence 0.76, drawn from 43/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sharjah FC 33% | Draw 29% | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 38%, with Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 66% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 66% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sharjah FC 54%, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 79%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Sharjah FC's trading profile (43 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's trading profile (43 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai arrived the stronger side — 2.44 PPG against 1.91. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.95 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.90 average — tighter than their form line. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.45 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.15 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights