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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Poisson model favours Sharjah FC (53%) — form and H2H data both point in the same direction as Sharjah FC face Baniyas SC.

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Fixture Analysis

It is a Pro League clash, Regular Season - 8 as Sharjah FC welcome Baniyas SC to Sharjah Stadium. Kick-off is set for Friday 21 November 2025 at 15:30 UTC.

Recent Form

Across all Pro League games this season, Sharjah FC have gone 4W 1D 5L from 10 outings — a 1.30 PPG return. Last five: D L L W L. Offensively they are averaging 1.60 goals per game, with 1.50 conceded. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Sharjah FC have played only a handful of Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.

In front of their own supporters this season, Sharjah FC have posted 4W 1D 5L at Sharjah Stadium — 1.30 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. At home, both teams have scored in only 20% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle.

Baniyas SC — All Games: 0W 3D 7L from 10 Pro League fixtures this season — 0.30 PPG. Last five: L L L L D. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 2.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.30 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. Baniyas SC have played only a handful of Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.

When travelling in Pro League this season, Baniyas SC have posted 4W 0D 6L from 10 away outings — 1.20 PPG. Away from home they average 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel. Their away PPG of 1.20 exceeds their overall 0.30 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.

Sharjah FC carry the stronger recent momentum — 1.00 PPG ahead of their opponents on 1.30 vs 0.30. The form data is a point in their favour, and where the price allows, it is the cleaner directional bet.

On the goals front, neither side scores or concedes freely enough to make BTTS Yes the call. Sharjah FC's 20% rate and Baniyas SC's 30% (using home/away splits) both sit well below average — BTTS No is the form-backed angle.

H2H Record

The fixture history tells a clear story: Sharjah FC have dominated this rivalry, winning 7 of 8 past contests while Baniyas SC have managed just 1 wins.

The 8 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 4.0 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 1 May 2025, ended 1–2 with Baniyas SC winning.

From a betting standpoint, the H2H backs both Sharjah FC and goals. The home side's 7 wins from 8 meetings, combined with an average of 4.0 goals per game, gives the home win and Over 2.5 combination a historically grounded case.

In-Play Profile

Sharjah FC in-play tendencies (33 games, 16 at home): they score before half-time in 56% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 85% of the time; BTTS occurs in 19% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (home games); they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time.

Baniyas SC in-play tendencies (33 games, 16 at away): they score before half-time in 94% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; BTTS occurs in 38% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 46%; they fail to score in 46% of games.

BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Sharjah FC 39% versus Baniyas SC 46%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Sharjah FC 52% | Baniyas SC 58%).

Poisson Model

The Poisson distribution model projects Sharjah FC 1.49 xG and Baniyas SC 0.81 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Sharjah FC attack 0.909 / defence 0.896 | Baniyas SC attack 0.785 / defence 1.220. League average goals — home 1.341 / away 1.146. Baniyas SC bring a strong defensive rating of 1.220 — this is suppressing Sharjah FC's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 33 Sharjah FC games / 33 Baniyas SC games used (CurrentSeason).

Result probabilities: Sharjah FC 53% | Draw 26% | Baniyas SC 20%. Fair-value odds: Sharjah FC 1.89 | Draw 3.85 | Baniyas SC 5.00. Sharjah FC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 53% — the draw (26%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.

Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 40% | BTTS probability 43% | Total xG 2.29. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 60% — total xG of 2.29 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 43% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.

Analysis Verdict

On the Poisson output, Sharjah FC are the pick at 53% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 26% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Sharjah FC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.

Poisson projects 2.29 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 40% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction — though H2H averaging only 4.0 goals per meeting points in the other direction.

The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 43%. Form rates corroborate: Sharjah FC 20% | Baniyas SC 30% BTTS from recent games.

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