Sharjah FC vs Al Wahda FC – Match Report

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Sharjah FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Al Wahda FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Sharjah FC beat Al Wahda FC 2-0 at Sharjah Stadium, Regular Season - 10, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sharjah FC 1.79 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.16 xG, a combined 2.95. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Al Wahda FC landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sharjah FC attack 1.14 / defence 0.71 against Al Wahda FC attack 1.06 / defence 0.85, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sharjah FC 49% | Draw 28% | Al Wahda FC 22%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 49%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sharjah FC 63%, Al Wahda FC 63%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 69%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Sharjah FC's trading profile (35 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not.

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (35 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Sharjah FC 1.89 PPG, Al Wahda FC 1.71 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Sharjah FC win broke the near-deadlock. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.18 average — tighter than their form line. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.71 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights