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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Sharjah FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Al-Dhafra.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Sharjah FC beat Al-Dhafra 2-0 at Sharjah Stadium, Regular Season - 6, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sharjah FC 1.69 xG and Al-Dhafra 1.05 xG, a combined 2.74. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Al-Dhafra landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sharjah FC attack 0.85 / defence 0.94 against Al-Dhafra attack 0.89 / defence 1.53, drawn from 31/5 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sharjah FC 52% | Draw 24% | Al-Dhafra 24%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 70% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sharjah FC 60%, Al-Dhafra 80%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 70%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Sharjah FC's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Al-Dhafra's trading profile (5 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 80% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Dhafra arrived the stronger side — 1.80 PPG against 0.80. Form was overturned, with Sharjah FC winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Sharjah FC scored 2 against a 1.20 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line. Al-Dhafra managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights