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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Bataeh cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Sharjah FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Bataeh beat Sharjah FC 0-2 at Sharjah Stadium, Regular Season - 10, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sharjah FC 1.20 xG and Al Bataeh 1.48 xG, a combined 2.68. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Sharjah FC fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sharjah FC attack 0.90 / defence 1.11 against Al Bataeh attack 0.97 / defence 1.03, drawn from 37/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sharjah FC 31% | Draw 26% | Al Bataeh 44%, with Al Bataeh to win its most likely call at 44%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sharjah FC 51%, Al Bataeh 60%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Sharjah FC's trading profile (37 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and conceded here.

Al Bataeh's trading profile (37 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Sharjah FC arrived the stronger side — 1.68 PPG against 0.89. Form was overturned, with Al Bataeh winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.53 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 0.82 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al Bataeh (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.12 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.41 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights