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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Sharjah FC run riot with a 4-0 hammering of Ajman.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Sharjah FC beat Ajman 4-0 at Sharjah Stadium, Regular Season - 22, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sharjah FC 1.34 xG and Ajman 0.71 xG, a combined 2.06. The scoreboard read 4-0 for 4 actual goals. Sharjah FC beat their projection by 2.7 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sharjah FC attack 0.87 / defence 0.63 against Ajman attack 0.84 / defence 1.05, drawn from 45/47 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sharjah FC 52% | Draw 28% | Ajman 20%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 52%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 34%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 61% and landed. Over 3.5 was 15% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 38% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sharjah FC 53%, Ajman 53%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Sharjah FC's trading profile (45 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.

Ajman's trading profile (45 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Sharjah FC arrived the stronger side — 1.84 PPG against 1.29. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.82 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 0.95 average — tighter than their form line. Ajman (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.32 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 4 against a 1.50 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights