🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Sharjah FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai beat Sharjah FC 2-0 at Al Rashid Stadium, Regular Season - 7, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1.30 xG and Sharjah FC 1.09 xG, a combined 2.40. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Sharjah FC landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai attack 0.92 / defence 0.79 against Sharjah FC attack 1.12 / defence 1.06, drawn from 32/32 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 41% | Draw 28% | Sharjah FC 31%, with Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to win its most likely call at 41%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 69% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 53%, Sharjah FC 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 45%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's trading profile (32 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 47% of the time, and duly kept one.

Sharjah FC's trading profile (32 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 41% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai arrived the stronger side — 2.31 PPG against 1.81. Form held, and they took the win. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.69 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.19 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights