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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Shabab Al Ahli Dubai cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Al-Wasl FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai beat Al-Wasl FC 3-1 at Al Rashid Stadium, Regular Season - 9, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1.40 xG and Al-Wasl FC 1.15 xG, a combined 2.55. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai beat their projection by 1.6 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai attack 1.02 / defence 0.74 against Al-Wasl FC attack 1.12 / defence 1.09, drawn from 36/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 43% | Draw 26% | Al-Wasl FC 31%, with Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to win its most likely call at 43%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 25% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 53%, Al-Wasl FC 61%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's trading profile (36 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 53% of the time, and conceded here.

Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (36 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai arrived the stronger side — 2.39 PPG against 1.86. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 2.06 average — above their attacking norm. Al-Wasl FC (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.53 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights