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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Shabab Al Ahli Dubai cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Al-Dhafra.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai beat Al-Dhafra 2-0 at Al Rashid Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2.07 xG and Al-Dhafra 1.10 xG, a combined 3.18. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Al-Dhafra landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai attack 1.11 / defence 0.86 against Al-Dhafra attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 26/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 59% | Draw 21% | Al-Dhafra 19%, with Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to win its most likely call at 59%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights