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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Khorfakkan run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Al Urooba.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Khorfakkan beat Al Urooba 3-0 at Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Regular Season - 16, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Khorfakkan 2.29 xG and Al Urooba 0.83 xG, a combined 3.11. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Al Urooba landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Khorfakkan attack 0.95 / defence 1.08 against Al Urooba attack 0.53 / defence 1.38, drawn from 41/15 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Khorfakkan 70% | Draw 19% | Al Urooba 12%, with Khorfakkan to win its most likely call at 70%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 67% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Khorfakkan 60%, Al Urooba 73%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 63%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Khorfakkan's trading profile (15 games, 7 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 73% of their matches — today it did not.

Al Urooba's trading profile (15 games, 7 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Khorfakkan arrived the stronger side — 1.00 PPG against 0.20. Form held, and they took the win. Khorfakkan (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.29 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.57 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights