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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dibba Al Hisn and Al-Ittihad Kalba share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Dibba Al Hisn and Al-Ittihad Kalba finished level at 2-2 at Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium, Regular Season - 10, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Dibba Al Hisn 1.02 xG and Al-Ittihad Kalba 1.84 xG, a combined 2.87. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Dibba Al Hisn beat their projection by 1.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dibba Al Hisn attack 0.72 / defence 1.42 against Al-Ittihad Kalba attack 0.85 / defence 0.78, drawn from 9/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Dibba Al Hisn 18% | Draw 28% | Al-Ittihad Kalba 54%, with Al-Ittihad Kalba to win its most likely call at 54%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. Over 3.5 was 32% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Dibba Al Hisn 56%, Al-Ittihad Kalba 56%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Dibba Al Hisn's trading profile (9 games, 4 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 78% of their matches — today it did.

Al-Ittihad Kalba's trading profile (9 games, 4 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Ittihad Kalba arrived the stronger side — 1.44 PPG against 0.56. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Dibba Al Hisn (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.00 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 2 against a 3.00 average — tighter than their form line. Al-Ittihad Kalba (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.75 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 2 against a 1.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights