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Sharjah FC cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Dibba Al-Fujairah.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Sharjah FC beat Dibba Al-Fujairah 1-3 at Dibba Al Fujairah Club Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Dibba Al-Fujairah 1.34 xG and Sharjah FC 1.73 xG, a combined 3.08. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Sharjah FC outscored their 1.73 projection by 1.3. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dibba Al-Fujairah attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Sharjah FC attack 0.99 / defence 0.97, drawn from 0/26 games (PrevSeason).
On the result, the model split it Dibba Al-Fujairah 30% | Draw 24% | Sharjah FC 46%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 46%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. Over 3.5 was 37% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.