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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al Wahda FC run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Baniyas SC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Wahda FC beat Baniyas SC 0-3 at Baniyas Stadium, Regular Season - 17, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Baniyas SC 1.26 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.32 xG, a combined 2.59. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Baniyas SC fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Al Wahda FC outscored their 1.32 projection by 1.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Baniyas SC attack 0.75 / defence 0.92 against Al Wahda FC attack 1.02 / defence 1.03, drawn from 42/41 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Baniyas SC 35% | Draw 26% | Al Wahda FC 38%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 38%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 73% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Baniyas SC 56%, Al Wahda FC 61%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Baniyas SC's trading profile (41 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (41 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Wahda FC arrived the stronger side — 1.63 PPG against 1.10. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Baniyas SC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.45 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.65 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.60 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.40 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights