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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al-Wasl FC run riot with a 6-0 hammering of Al Urooba.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Wasl FC beat Al Urooba 6-0 at Zabeel Stadium, Regular Season - 11, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Wasl FC 2.59 xG and Al Urooba 0.94 xG, a combined 3.53. The scoreboard read 6-0 for 6 actual goals. Al-Wasl FC beat their projection by 3.4 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Al Urooba landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Wasl FC attack 1.16 / defence 1.02 against Al Urooba attack 0.61 / defence 1.21, drawn from 36/10 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Wasl FC 71% | Draw 19% | Al Urooba 10%, with Al-Wasl FC to win its most likely call at 71%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 68%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 88% and landed. Over 3.5 was 47% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 75% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Wasl FC 80%, Al Urooba 70%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (10 games, 4 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 70% of their matches — today it did not.

Al Urooba's trading profile (10 games, 4 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Wasl FC arrived the stronger side — 1.30 PPG against 0.30. That form edge translated into the three points. Al-Wasl FC (home/away splits) scored 6 against a 2.75 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line. Al Urooba (home/away splits) shipped 6 against a 2.50 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights