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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Al-Wasl FC edge out Al-Ittihad Kalba 2-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Wasl FC beat Al-Ittihad Kalba 2-1 at Zabeel Stadium, Regular Season - 26, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Wasl FC 2.02 xG and Al-Ittihad Kalba 1.03 xG, a combined 3.06. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Wasl FC attack 1.08 / defence 0.77 against Al-Ittihad Kalba attack 0.94 / defence 1.27, drawn from 51/51 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Wasl FC 59% | Draw 24% | Al-Ittihad Kalba 17%, with Al-Wasl FC to win its most likely call at 59%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Wasl FC 59%, Al-Ittihad Kalba 65%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (51 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did.

Al-Ittihad Kalba's trading profile (51 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Wasl FC arrived the stronger side — 1.78 PPG against 1.10. Form held, and they took the win.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights