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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Al-Wasl FC edge out Al Bataeh 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Wasl FC beat Al Bataeh 1-0 at Zabeel Stadium, Regular Season - 17, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Wasl FC 1.11 xG and Al Bataeh 0.94 xG, a combined 2.05. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Al Bataeh landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Wasl FC attack 0.88 / defence 0.64 against Al Bataeh attack 0.97 / defence 0.97, drawn from 41/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Wasl FC 39% | Draw 30% | Al Bataeh 30%, with Al-Wasl FC to win its most likely call at 39%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 34%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 61% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Wasl FC 58%, Al Bataeh 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (41 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one.

Al Bataeh's trading profile (41 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Wasl FC arrived the stronger side — 1.76 PPG against 0.98. Form held, and they took the win. Al-Wasl FC (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 1.85 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.90 average — tighter than their form line. Al Bataeh (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.20 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights