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Al-Wasl FC vs Al Bataeh – Predictions

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 8 Dec 2024

12:45

Venue

Zabeel Stadium

Competition

Pro League

United-Arab-Emirates

Status

FT

🧮 Model Insight

Where the Numbers Come From

The model rates Al-Wasl FC's attack at 1.08x the league average against Al Bataeh's defence at 1.02x — combine the two and it projects 2.04 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Al Bataeh's attack (0.90x) against Al-Wasl FC's defence (1.03x) — and the away total comes out at 1.45.

These ratings are built from 34/34 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.

Scoreline Breakdown

Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 10.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (9.2%), 2-2 (6.7%). Together the top three scorelines make up 26% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.

Most Likely Outcome

Al-Wasl FC Win

49%

Al-Wasl FC

2.03

26%

Draw

3.91

25%

Al Bataeh

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 2

6.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Al-Wasl FC xG

Total xG

3.50

1.45

Al Bataeh xG

49%
26%
25%
Al-Wasl FCDrawAl Bataeh

2.03

49%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.21

Clean Sheet

23%

Al-Wasl FC

4.28

13%

Al Bataeh

7.71

Win to Nil

11%

Al-Wasl FC

8.70

3%

Al Bataeh

30.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 4.4 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 6.2 9.0 6.5 3.2 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 9.2 6.7 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.3 6.3 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 3.2 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.043
λ Away (xG) 1.453
Total xG 3.496
League avg home goals 1.855
League avg away goals 1.553
Al-Wasl FC attack strength 1.081
Al-Wasl FC defence strength 1.034
Al Bataeh attack strength 0.904
Al Bataeh defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most likely scoreline for Al-Wasl FC vs Al Bataeh?

Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 10.2%.

How many goals are Al-Wasl FC and Al Bataeh expected to score?

The model projects 2.04 expected goals for Al-Wasl FC and 1.45 for Al Bataeh, a combined total of 3.50.

How confident is the prediction model for Al-Wasl FC vs Al Bataeh?

Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 49%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.