Al-Wasl FC vs Al Bataeh – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
The model rates Al-Wasl FC's attack at 1.08x the league average against Al Bataeh's defence at 1.02x — combine the two and it projects 2.04 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Al Bataeh's attack (0.90x) against Al-Wasl FC's defence (1.03x) — and the away total comes out at 1.45.
These ratings are built from 34/34 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 10.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (9.2%), 2-2 (6.7%). Together the top three scorelines make up 26% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Al-Wasl FC Win
49%
2.03
26%
3.91
25%
3.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 β 1
9.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 β 1
9.0%
Draw
2 β 2
6.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.04
Al-Wasl FC xG
Total xG
3.50
1.45
Al Bataeh xG
2.03
49%
Home win
3.91
26%
Draw
3.96
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
68%
Over 2.5
1.47
32%
Under 2.5
3.12
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.45
31%
BTTS No
3.21
Clean Sheet
23%
4.28
13%
7.71
Win to Nil
11%
8.70
3%
30.57
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 9.2 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Al-Wasl FC vs Al Bataeh?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 10.2%.
How many goals are Al-Wasl FC and Al Bataeh expected to score?
The model projects 2.04 expected goals for Al-Wasl FC and 1.45 for Al Bataeh, a combined total of 3.50.
How confident is the prediction model for Al-Wasl FC vs Al Bataeh?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 49%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.