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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al Wahda FC run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Sharjah FC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Wahda FC beat Sharjah FC 3-0 at Al Nahyan Stadium, Regular Season - 23, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Wahda FC 1.50 xG and Sharjah FC 1.26 xG, a combined 2.77. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Al Wahda FC beat their projection by 1.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Sharjah FC landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Wahda FC attack 1.21 / defence 1.04 against Sharjah FC attack 0.89 / defence 0.81, drawn from 48/48 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Wahda FC 43% | Draw 25% | Sharjah FC 32%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 43%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Wahda FC 62%, Sharjah FC 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (48 games, 24 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not.

Sharjah FC's trading profile (48 games, 24 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al Wahda FC 1.67 PPG, Sharjah FC 1.81 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Al Wahda FC win broke the near-deadlock. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.96 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.83 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.25 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights