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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al Wahda FC run riot with a 4-1 hammering of Dibba Al Hisn.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Wahda FC beat Dibba Al Hisn 4-1 at Al Nahyan Stadium, Regular Season - 11, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Wahda FC 2.28 xG and Dibba Al Hisn 1.20 xG, a combined 3.48. The scoreboard read 4-1 for 5 actual goals. Al Wahda FC beat their projection by 1.7 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Wahda FC attack 1.06 / defence 0.93 against Dibba Al Hisn attack 0.86 / defence 1.15, drawn from 36/10 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Wahda FC 60% | Draw 23% | Dibba Al Hisn 17%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 60%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 68%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 88% and landed. Over 3.5 was 46% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 65% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Wahda FC 60%, Dibba Al Hisn 60%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 65%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (10 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 40% of the time, and conceded here.

Dibba Al Hisn's trading profile (10 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 80% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Wahda FC arrived the stronger side — 1.80 PPG against 0.60. That form edge translated into the three points. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 2.20 average — above their attacking norm. Dibba Al Hisn (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 2.20 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights