Al Wahda FC vs Al Urooba – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Al Wahda FC's attacking strength (1.08x league average) is weighed against Al Urooba's defensive record (1.15x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 2.26. Flip it around — Al Urooba's attack (0.68x) against Al Wahda FC's defence (0.99x) — and the away total comes out at 1.09.
These ratings are built from 34/8 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 9.8%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.8%), 2-0 (8.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 28% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Al Wahda FC Win
62%
1.61
22%
4.53
16%
6.33
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
8.9%
Home win
1 – 1
8.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.26
Al Wahda FC xG
Total xG
3.35
1.09
Al Urooba xG
1.61
62%
Home win
4.53
22%
Draw
6.33
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.64
39%
BTTS No
2.57
Clean Sheet
33%
2.99
10%
9.56
Win to Nil
21%
4.81
2%
60.49
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 7.9 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Al Wahda FC vs Al Urooba?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 9.8%.
How many goals are Al Wahda FC and Al Urooba expected to score?
The model projects 2.26 expected goals for Al Wahda FC and 1.09 for Al Urooba, a combined total of 3.35.
How confident is the prediction model for Al Wahda FC vs Al Urooba?
Reasonably confident — the model's leading outcome is rated at 62%, a clear lean rather than a toss-up.