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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Dibba Al Hisn edge out Al Urooba 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Dibba Al Hisn beat Al Urooba 1-2 at Dibba Stadium, Regular Season - 13, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Urooba 1.52 xG and Dibba Al Hisn 1.64 xG, a combined 3.16. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Urooba attack 0.67 / defence 1.40 against Dibba Al Hisn attack 0.85 / defence 1.26, drawn from 12/11 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Urooba 35% | Draw 24% | Dibba Al Hisn 41%, with Dibba Al Hisn to win its most likely call at 41%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 61%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 64% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Urooba 64%, Dibba Al Hisn 64%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Urooba's trading profile (11 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 36% of their matches — today it did.

Dibba Al Hisn's trading profile (11 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 82% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al Urooba 0.27 PPG, Dibba Al Hisn 0.55 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Dibba Al Hisn win broke the near-deadlock. Dibba Al Hisn (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.20 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 1 against a 2.80 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights