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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Al-Wasl FC edge out Al Urooba 1-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Wasl FC beat Al Urooba 1-2 at Dibba Stadium, Regular Season - 24, in the Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Urooba 1.19 xG and Al-Wasl FC 2.32 xG, a combined 3.51. The scoreboard read 1-2 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Urooba attack 0.89 / defence 1.28 against Al-Wasl FC attack 1.29 / defence 0.88, drawn from 23/49 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Urooba 18% | Draw 19% | Al-Wasl FC 63%, with Al-Wasl FC to win its most likely call at 63%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 68%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 87% and landed. Over 3.5 was 47% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 63% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 67% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Urooba 70%, Al-Wasl FC 65%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Urooba's trading profile (23 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did.

Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (23 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Wasl FC arrived the stronger side — 1.74 PPG against 0.43. That form edge translated into the three points.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights