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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al-Wasl FC run riot with a 0-5 hammering of Al-Jazira.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Wasl FC beat Al-Jazira 0-5 at Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium, Regular Season - 20, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Jazira 1.34 xG and Al-Wasl FC 1.08 xG, a combined 2.42. The scoreboard read 0-5 for 5 actual goals. Al-Jazira fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Al-Wasl FC outscored their 1.08 projection by 3.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Jazira attack 0.91 / defence 0.86 against Al-Wasl FC attack 0.99 / defence 0.97, drawn from 44/45 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Jazira 43% | Draw 27% | Al-Wasl FC 30%, with Al-Jazira to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual Al-Wasl FC win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. Over 3.5 was 22% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 67% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Jazira 66%, Al-Wasl FC 68%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 64%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Jazira's trading profile (44 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did not.

Al-Wasl FC's trading profile (44 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Wasl FC arrived the stronger side — 2.14 PPG against 1.48. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Al-Jazira (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.86 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 5 against a 1.48 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al-Wasl FC (home/away splits) scored 5 against a 2.33 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.38 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights