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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Sharjah FC cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Al-Dhafra.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Sharjah FC beat Al-Dhafra 0-2 at Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Regular Season - 14, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Dhafra 1.25 xG and Sharjah FC 1.67 xG, a combined 2.92. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Al-Dhafra fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Dhafra attack 0.94 / defence 1.09 against Sharjah FC attack 1.15 / defence 0.98, drawn from 13/39 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Dhafra 29% | Draw 24% | Sharjah FC 47%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 47%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 56%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Dhafra 62%, Sharjah FC 46%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 58%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Dhafra's trading profile (13 games, 6 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 31% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Sharjah FC's trading profile (13 games, 6 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al-Dhafra 1.23 PPG, Sharjah FC 1.08 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Sharjah FC win broke the near-deadlock. Al-Dhafra (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.17 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.67 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights