🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at Al Bataeh's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Bataeh and Sharjah FC finished level at 0-0 at Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium, Regular Season - 25, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Bataeh 1.26 xG and Sharjah FC 1.48 xG, a combined 2.74. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Al Bataeh fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Sharjah FC landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Bataeh attack 0.73 / defence 1.03 against Sharjah FC attack 0.97 / defence 1.18, drawn from 50/50 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Bataeh 31% | Draw 27% | Sharjah FC 42%, with Sharjah FC to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 77% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Bataeh 50%, Sharjah FC 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Bataeh's trading profile (50 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 26% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Sharjah FC's trading profile (50 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 26% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Sharjah FC arrived the stronger side — 1.52 PPG against 0.92. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Al Bataeh (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.88 average — tighter than their form line. Sharjah FC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.56 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.44 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights