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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Shabab Al Ahli Dubai cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Al Bataeh.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai beat Al Bataeh 1-3 at Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium, Regular Season - 14, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Bataeh 0.99 xG and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2.19 xG, a combined 3.18. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai outscored their 2.19 projection by 0.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Bataeh attack 0.76 / defence 1.31 against Shabab Al Ahli Dubai attack 1.20 / defence 0.75, drawn from 39/38 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Bataeh 16% | Draw 20% | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 65%, with Shabab Al Ahli Dubai to win its most likely call at 65%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. Over 3.5 was 39% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 75% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Bataeh 68%, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 82%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 68%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Bataeh's trading profile (38 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did.

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's trading profile (38 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 68% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai arrived the stronger side — 2.37 PPG against 1.18. The form guide was vindicated by the result.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights