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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Wahda FC cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Al Bataeh.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Wahda FC beat Al Bataeh 1-3 at Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium, Regular Season - 6, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Bataeh 0.79 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.27 xG, a combined 2.07. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Al Wahda FC outscored their 1.27 projection by 1.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Bataeh attack 0.88 / defence 1.02 against Al Wahda FC attack 0.99 / defence 0.70, drawn from 31/31 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Bataeh 23% | Draw 29% | Al Wahda FC 48%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 48%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 34%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 61% and landed. Over 3.5 was 16% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 39% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Bataeh 58%, Al Wahda FC 58%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Bataeh's trading profile (31 games, 15 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did.

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (31 games, 15 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Wahda FC arrived the stronger side — 1.90 PPG against 0.97. Form held, and they took the win. Al Bataeh (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.93 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.60 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights