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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al-Jazira run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Al Bataeh.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Jazira beat Al Bataeh 0-3 at Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium, Regular Season - 11, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Bataeh 1.69 xG and Al-Jazira 2.10 xG, a combined 3.78. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Al Bataeh fell 1.7 short of their projected output. Al-Jazira outscored their 2.10 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Bataeh attack 0.94 / defence 1.29 against Al-Jazira attack 1.08 / defence 0.97, drawn from 36/36 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Bataeh 30% | Draw 24% | Al-Jazira 46%, with Al-Jazira to win its most likely call at 46%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 73%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 91% and landed. Over 3.5 was 52% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 73% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 71% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Bataeh 72%, Al-Jazira 69%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 75%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Bataeh's trading profile (36 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 75% of their matches — today it did not.

Al-Jazira's trading profile (36 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 75% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Al Bataeh 1.17 PPG, Al-Jazira 1.44 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Al-Jazira win broke the near-deadlock. Al Bataeh (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.59 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 2.18 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al-Jazira (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.88 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.88 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights