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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Ajman cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Dibba Al-Fujairah.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Ajman beat Dibba Al-Fujairah 2-0 at Ajman Stadium, Regular Season - 9, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ajman 1.35 xG and Dibba Al-Fujairah 1.33 xG, a combined 2.68. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Dibba Al-Fujairah landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ajman attack 0.88 / defence 1.16 against Dibba Al-Fujairah attack 0.91 / defence 1.20, drawn from 34/8 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ajman 38% | Draw 26% | Dibba Al-Fujairah 36%, with Ajman to win its most likely call at 38%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 44% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ajman 25%, Dibba Al-Fujairah 62%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ajman's trading profile (8 games, 3 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 12% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 50% of the time, and duly kept one.

Dibba Al-Fujairah's trading profile (8 games, 3 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 88% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Ajman arrived the stronger side — 1.25 PPG against 0.38. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Ajman (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.67 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.67 average — tighter than their form line. Dibba Al-Fujairah (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.33 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights