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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Wahda FC cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Ajman.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Wahda FC beat Ajman 0-2 at Ajman Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ajman 1.59 xG and Al Wahda FC 1.72 xG, a combined 3.30. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Ajman fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ajman attack 1.17 / defence 1.08 against Al Wahda FC attack 1.07 / defence 0.91, drawn from 26/26 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ajman 36% | Draw 23% | Al Wahda FC 41%, with Al Wahda FC to win its most likely call at 41%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 65% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ajman 62%, Al Wahda FC 65%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ajman's trading profile (26 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Al Wahda FC's trading profile (26 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Wahda FC arrived the stronger side — 1.85 PPG against 1.19. Form held, and they took the win. Ajman (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.23 scoring average — below par going forward. Al Wahda FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.23 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights