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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al Ain run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Ajman.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Ain beat Ajman 0-3 at Ajman Stadium, Regular Season - 7, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ajman 1.11 xG and Al Ain 1.55 xG, a combined 2.66. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Ajman fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Al Ain outscored their 1.55 projection by 1.4. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ajman attack 0.93 / defence 1.09 against Al Ain attack 1.15 / defence 0.89, drawn from 32/32 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ajman 27% | Draw 25% | Al Ain 48%, with Al Ain to win its most likely call at 48%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ajman 53%, Al Ain 69%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Ajman's trading profile (32 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Al Ain's trading profile (32 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 34% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Ain arrived the stronger side — 1.88 PPG against 1.25. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Ajman (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.94 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.62 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al Ain (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 2.06 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights