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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

11:00

Venue

Obolon Arena

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zorya Luhansk Win

53%

Zorya Luhansk

1.89

23%

Draw

4.34

24%

SK Poltava

4.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Zorya Luhansk xG

Total xG

2.96

1.15

SK Poltava xG

53%
23%
24%
Zorya LuhanskDrawSK Poltava

1.89

53%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

4.17

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

32%

Zorya Luhansk

3.15

16%

SK Poltava

6.12

Win to Nil

17%

Zorya Luhansk

5.94

4%

SK Poltava

25.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.0 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.4 10.8 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.8 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.1 5.9 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.812
λ Away (xG) 1.146
Total xG 2.958
League avg home goals 1.202
League avg away goals 1.149
Zorya Luhansk attack strength 0.979
Zorya Luhansk defence strength 0.988
SK Poltava attack strength 1.009
SK Poltava defence strength 1.539
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 18