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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Thu 23 Apr 2026

13:30

Venue

Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zorya Luhansk Win

37%

Zorya Luhansk

2.69

28%

Draw

3.53

34%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Zorya Luhansk xG

Total xG

2.30

1.12

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

37%
28%
34%
Zorya LuhanskDrawShakhtar Donetsk

2.69

37%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

32%

Zorya Luhansk

3.08

31%

Shakhtar Donetsk

3.25

Win to Nil

12%

Zorya Luhansk

8.28

11%

Shakhtar Donetsk

9.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 11.2 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.1
1 11.8 13.2 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.9 7.8 4.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.178
λ Away (xG) 1.124
Total xG 2.302
League avg home goals 1.227
League avg away goals 1.128
Zorya Luhansk attack strength 1.080
Zorya Luhansk defence strength 0.824
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.209
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53