Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

13:30

Venue

Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

16%

Zorya Luhansk

6.28

22%

Draw

4.54

62%

Shakhtar Donetsk

1.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.4%

Away win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.86

Zorya Luhansk xG

Total xG

2.78

1.92

Shakhtar Donetsk xG

16%
22%
62%
Zorya LuhanskDrawShakhtar Donetsk

6.28

16%

Home win

4.54

22%

Draw

1.61

62%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

15%

Zorya Luhansk

6.82

42%

Shakhtar Donetsk

2.36

Win to Nil

2%

Zorya Luhansk

42.85

26%

Shakhtar Donetsk

3.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 11.9 11.4 7.3 3.5 1.4
1 5.3 10.2 9.8 6.3 3.0 1.2
2 2.3 4.4 4.2 2.7 1.3 0.5
3 0.7 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.859
λ Away (xG) 1.920
Total xG 2.779
League avg home goals 1.194
League avg away goals 1.070
Zorya Luhansk attack strength 1.017
Zorya Luhansk defence strength 1.214
Shakhtar Donetsk attack strength 1.478
Shakhtar Donetsk defence strength 0.708
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57