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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

16:00

Venue

Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Karpaty Win

25%

Zorya Luhansk

3.98

29%

Draw

3.44

46%

Karpaty

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

Zorya Luhansk xG

Total xG

2.14

1.27

Karpaty xG

25%
29%
46%
Zorya LuhanskDrawKarpaty

3.98

25%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

28%

Zorya Luhansk

3.58

42%

Karpaty

2.38

Win to Nil

7%

Zorya Luhansk

14.23

19%

Karpaty

5.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 15.0 9.6 4.1 1.3 0.3
1 10.2 13.0 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 4.4 5.6 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.866
λ Away (xG) 1.275
Total xG 2.141
League avg home goals 1.096
League avg away goals 1.332
Zorya Luhansk attack strength 1.001
Zorya Luhansk defence strength 0.994
Karpaty attack strength 0.963
Karpaty defence strength 0.790
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44