Veres Rivne 2-0 Ruh Lviv – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Ruh Lviv at 44% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Veres Rivne host Ruh Lviv at Stadion Avanhard in Premier League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 10 November 2024 at 11:00 UTC.
Recent Form
Across all Premier League games this season, Veres Rivne have gone 2W 5D 3L from 10 outings — a 1.10 PPG return. Last five: D W D D D. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.40 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Veres Rivne, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Stadion Avanhard, Veres Rivne have gone 2W 5D 3L this season (10 games, 1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Ruh Lviv — All Games: 2W 6D 2L from 10 Premier League fixtures this season — 1.20 PPG. Last five: D D L D D. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 0.70 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Defensively, 0.70 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for Ruh Lviv, so this record blends games from this season and last.
On the road, Ruh Lviv have gone 1W 7D 2L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.00 PPG). Away from home they average 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
The form comparison is too close to call — 1.10 PPG (Veres Rivne) versus 1.20 (Ruh Lviv). When the figures are this level, no pick can be reliably derived from recent results alone.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. Veres Rivne register both teams scoring in 80% of relevant matches, Ruh Lviv in 60% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H
Despite the anticipated home advantage, Ruh Lviv have the better historical record — 3 wins from 6 previous contests against 0 for Veres Rivne.
The 6 previous encounters between these sides have been high-scoring affairs — 3.3 goals per contest on average. Historical precedent backs the Over 2.5 goals market. The most recent clash, on 27 Apr 2024, ended 1–3 with Ruh Lviv winning.
The H2H provides genuine backing for the away side. Ruh Lviv have won 3 of 6 previous encounters, and at 3.3 goals per game, the goals market also points upward. The away win and Over 2.5 combination has a historical case worth noting.
Trading Patterns
Veres Rivne in-play and half-time data (41 games, 21 at home): they score before half-time in 76% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 58% of the time; BTTS occurs in 71% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 62% of games (home games); they fail to score in 32% of games.
Ruh Lviv in-play and half-time data (41 games, 21 at away): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 50% of the time; BTTS occurs in 57% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 43% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Veres Rivne 61% versus Ruh Lviv 56%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Veres Rivne 49% | Ruh Lviv 39%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Veres Rivne 1.01 xG and Ruh Lviv 1.37 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Veres Rivne attack 1.053 / defence 1.268 | Ruh Lviv attack 0.997 / defence 0.833. League average goals — home 1.151 / away 1.080. Data: 42 Veres Rivne games / 41 Ruh Lviv games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Veres Rivne 27% | Draw 29% | Ruh Lviv 44%. Fair-value odds: Veres Rivne 3.70 | Draw 3.45 | Ruh Lviv 2.27. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 42% | BTTS probability 48% | Total xG 2.38. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 58% — total xG of 2.38 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 48% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Ruh Lviv as the most likely outcome at 44% — marginal model lean. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Ruh Lviv offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.38 combined xG gives a 42% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration — though H2H averaging only 3.3 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
Poisson assigns a 48% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. This conflicts with form data: Veres Rivne 80% | Ruh Lviv 60% from recent games — a notable divergence.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv | Competition: Premier League, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: Stadion Avanhard • Kick-off: Sunday 10 Nov 2024, 11:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Veres Rivne 27% | Draw 29% | Ruh Lviv 44% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 42% | BTTS 48% | xG Veres Rivne 1.01 / Ruh Lviv 1.37 • Poisson strength factors: Veres Rivne attack 1.053 / def 1.268 | Ruh Lviv attack 0.997 / def 0.833 | league avg home 1.151 / away 1.080 • Poisson stance: Ruh Lviv (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
1.01
Veres Rivne xG
Expected Goals
1.37
Ruh Lviv xG
48%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
22%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv kick off?
Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv kicked off at 11:00 on Sunday 10 November 2024 at Stadion Avanhard.
What was the final score in Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Veres Rivne 2 - 0 Ruh Lviv.
Where is Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv being played?
The match is being played at Stadion Avanhard.
What competition is Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv part of?
Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Our statistical model gives Veres Rivne a 27% chance of winning, Ruh Lviv a 44% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Ruh Lviv the favourite.
Will both teams score in Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Our model estimates a 48% probability that both Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv will score (BTTS).
Will Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 42%.
What is the head-to-head record between Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv?
Record (6 meetings): Veres Rivne 0W | Draws 3 | Ruh Lviv 3W.
What form are Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv in?
Veres Rivne (all comps): 2W-5D-3L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.40 | L5 D-W-D-D-D. Ruh Lviv (all comps): 2W-6D-2L in 10 | 1.20 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 0.70 | L5 D-D-L-D-D.
What do the betting odds say about Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Odds data is not currently available for this fixture.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Veres Rivne's attack rating (1.05) and Ruh Lviv's defence rating (0.83), the model arrives at 1.01 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Ruh Lviv's attack versus Veres Rivne's defence, projects 1.37 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 42/41 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.5%. Close behind: 0-1 (11.0%), 0-0 (11.0%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 36% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Ruh Lviv Win
27%
3.74
29%
3.42
44%
2.27
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
12.7%
Away win
1 – 0
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.01
Veres Rivne xG
Total xG
2.38
1.37
Ruh Lviv xG
3.74
27%
Home win
3.42
29%
Draw
2.27
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
48%
BTTS Yes
2.07
52%
BTTS No
1.93
Clean Sheet
26%
3.92
36%
2.74
Win to Nil
7%
14.64
16%
6.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 12.7 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 12.8 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 6.5 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.5%.
How many goals are Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv expected to score?
The model projects 1.01 expected goals for Veres Rivne and 1.37 for Ruh Lviv, a combined total of 2.38.
How confident is the prediction model for Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
Veres Rivne come into this having played 41 games, going 9W 16D 16L for 1.05 points per game. Their last five reads D-W-D-D-D. The sample for Veres Rivne is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Ruh Lviv sit at 1.56 PPG from 41 outings (15W 19D 7L), a run that reads D-D-L-D-D across their last five. The sample for Ruh Lviv is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Ruh Lviv carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.51 PPG clear of Veres Rivne — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Venue Form
Veres Rivne's home form reads 6W 9D 6L across 21 games on their own ground, a 1.29 PPG return.
Away from home, Ruh Lviv have taken 1.57 points per game from 21 outings (8W 9D 4L).
Goals in Recent Form
Veres Rivne are averaging 1.12 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game recently; Ruh Lviv are on 1.46 scored and 0.93 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Veres Rivne have seen both teams score in 61% of their recent games.
Defensively: Ruh Lviv in 37% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 41 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Veres Rivne
Blended
Ruh Lviv
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv in coming into this match?
Veres Rivne have gone 9W 16D 16L in their last 41 games (1.05 PPG), while Ruh Lviv have gone 15W 19D 7L in their last 41 (1.56 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Veres Rivne at home or Ruh Lviv away?
Ruh Lviv's away record (1.57 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Veres Rivne at home: 1.29 PPG; Ruh Lviv away: 1.57 PPG.
Have Veres Rivne or Ruh Lviv been keeping clean sheets recently?
Veres Rivne have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their recent games, Ruh Lviv in 37%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to August 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. The two were last together as recently as 9 May 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 22 Oct 2023, when Ruh Lviv won 2-5 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Veres Rivne's record when hosting Ruh Lviv specifically: 2W 2D 1L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
2
Veres Rivne
4
Draws
4
Ruh Lviv
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv?
From 10 meetings on record, Veres Rivne have won 2, Ruh Lviv have won 4, and 4 have been drawn.
When did Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv last play each other?
They last met on 9 May 2026, when Ruh Lviv 0-0 Veres Rivne.
Who has won more matches between Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv?
Ruh Lviv have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
Veres Rivne are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
Ruh Lviv are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Veres Rivne 71%, Ruh Lviv 57% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 62% (Veres Rivne) and 43% (Ruh Lviv).
On the defensive side: Ruh Lviv in 38%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Veres Rivne home games / Ruh Lviv away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Veres Rivne play Ruh Lviv?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 71% of Veres Rivne's games and 57% of Ruh Lviv's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is Veres Rivne vs Ruh Lviv usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 62% of Veres Rivne's recent games and 43% of Ruh Lviv's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Veres Rivne and Ruh Lviv tend to score early?
Veres Rivne have had a goal before half-time in 76% of their recent matches, Ruh Lviv in 62% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Veres Rivne cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Ruh Lviv.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Veres Rivne beat Ruh Lviv 2-0 at Stadion Avanhard, Regular Season - 13, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Veres Rivne 1.01 xG and Ruh Lviv 1.37 xG, a combined 2.38. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Veres Rivne beat their projection by 1.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Ruh Lviv landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Veres Rivne attack 1.05 / defence 1.27 against Ruh Lviv attack 1.00 / defence 0.83, drawn from 42/41 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Veres Rivne 27% | Draw 29% | Ruh Lviv 44%, with Ruh Lviv to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual Veres Rivne win had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 48% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 44% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Veres Rivne 49%, Ruh Lviv 39%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Veres Rivne's trading profile (41 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.
Ruh Lviv's trading profile (41 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 37% of the time, and conceded here.
Form vs Result
On form, Ruh Lviv arrived the stronger side — 1.56 PPG against 1.05. Form was overturned, with Veres Rivne winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. Veres Rivne (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.62 average — tighter than their form line. Ruh Lviv (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.48 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.05 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.