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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Veres Rivne and Oleksandria share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Avanhard, Regular Season - 9, as Veres Rivne and Oleksandria drew 1-1 in the Premier League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Veres Rivne 1.22 xG and Oleksandria 1.26 xG, a combined 2.49. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Veres Rivne attack 0.93 / defence 1.13 against Oleksandria attack 0.86 / defence 1.13, drawn from 38/38 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Veres Rivne 35% | Draw 28% | Oleksandria 37%, with Oleksandria to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Veres Rivne 45%, Oleksandria 47%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 46%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Veres Rivne's trading profile (38 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did.

Oleksandria's trading profile (38 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Oleksandria arrived the stronger side — 1.95 PPG against 1.16. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights